TIES 2024

A Bayesian Multisource Fusion Model for Spatiotemporal PM2.5 and NO2 Concentrations: For Exposure Health Assessment in an Urban Setting

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Monica Pirani
• Marta Blangiardo
• Fred Piel
• James Kirkbride

A Case Study on Fuel Treatment Effects in Southwestern British Columbia: Surprises found in a Scenario Analysis

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Rhonda Millikin
• Martin Alexander
• Shabnam Fani

A Markov Chain Modulated Random Coefficient Minification Time Series Model for the Fire Weather Index

Format: IPS Abstract

A spatial hierarchical model with temporal effects for analyzing extreme rainfall in Taiwan

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Tzu-Han Peng
• Cheng-Ching Lin
• Nan-Jung Hsu

A standardised sky-condition classification method for multiple timescales and its applications in renewable energy industry

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• merlinde kay
• John Boland

Adapting communities & the planet to global change with novel physics-AI-Human systems

Format: IPS Abstract

Advancing High Mountain Precipitation Reconstruction through Merging of Multiple Data Sources

Format: IPS Abstract

Application of topological data analysis to multi-resolution matching of aerosol optical depth maps

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Huikyo Lee
• Krzysztof M. Gorski
• Michael J. Garay
• Yulia Gel

Bayesian Melding for Agent Based Stochastic Models

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Grace Chiu
• Mark Dawkins

Bayesian Models and Methods In Environmental Applications

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Michael Bertolacci
• Raphael Huser
• Dan Pagendam
• Julia Walchessen

CQUESST: A Bayesian Framework for Soil-Carbon Sequestration

Format: IPS Abstract

Calibration of ice sheet models using neural Bayes estimators

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• David Gunawan
• Felicity McCormack
• Andrew Zammit Mangion
• Noel Cressie

Challenges calibrating machine learning models when predicting rare events, with applications to wildfire occurrence prediction

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Douglas G. Woolford
• Daniel J. Lizotte

Characterising Renewable Generation in the Grid

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• John Boland
• Joshua Chopin
• Belinda Chiera

Classifying mixtures of forest and grassland fuel types using fuzzy clustering for wildfire spread estimation

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Daniel Krasnov

Climate downscaling for inferring bryophyte diversity in East Antarctica

Format: IPS Abstract

Common challenges limit applications of landscape-fire-succession models to understand fire-vegetation feedbacks

Format: IPS Abstract

Deciphering changes in biodiversity: towards a unified approach

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Developments in Scalable Posterior Sampling through Random Weighting

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Anton Westveld
• Bronwyn Loong

Dimension Reduction for Multivariate Spatial Data

Format: IPS Abstract

Elegance or Complexity in Spatial Models?

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Estimating sources of particle matter: A functional data modelling approach

Format: IPS Abstract

Estimation and Inference in a Tensor Regression Model with Change-points with environmental application

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Sévérien Nkurunziza

Estimation of porosity profiles for indigenous petroglyphs

Format: IPS Abstract

Exploring Multivariate Spatiotemporal Data with Geographically-constrained Spectral Clustering

Format: IPS Abstract

Finding Dunkelflaute - estimating the probability of successive days of low Variable Renewable Energy (VRE)

Format: IPS Abstract

Functional time series forecasting with dynamic updating: An application to intraday particulate matter concentration

Format: IPS Abstract

GEOBEx a Statistical Method for Air Quality Level Predictions

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Daniela Castro-Camilo

GeoWarp: Warped spatial processes for inferring subsea sediment properties

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Andrew Zammit Mangion
• Juan Valderrama Giraldo
• Fraser Bransby
• Phil Watson
• Michael O’Neill

How Bayesian Inference can support mechanistic models of coral reef health

Format: IPS Abstract

Ice sea the future: statistical machine learning to predict Antarctic sea ice with quantified uncertainty

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Elizabeth Shine
• Ariaan Purich
• Ryan Heneghan

Integrating Historical Records and Climate Models for Temperature Reconstruction in East Asia (1403-1911)

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Eric Sun
• Kuan-hui Elaine Lin
• Wan-Ling Tseng

Leveraging Topological and Geometric Deep Learning for Wildfire Risk Analytics

Format: IPS Abstract

Mathematical modelling and uncertainty quantification for analysis of biphasic coral reef recovery patterns

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Measuring the performance of distributed rooftop photovoltaic generation estimates in the absence of counterfactuals

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Model-based inference for spatial biological-dissimilarity indices

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Co-author:

• Noel Cressie
• Andrew Zammit-Mangion

Modeling high and low extremes with a novel dynamic spatio-temporal model

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Myungsoo Yoo
• Christopher Wikle

Modelling Count Data in the Presence of Intervention

Format: IPS Abstract

Monitoring and predicting food insecurity from population non-representative survey and satellite imagery

Format: IPS Abstract

Multi-Resolution Spatial Methods on the Sphere

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Neural Bayes Estimators for Censored Inference with Peaks-over-threshold Models

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Co-author:

• Jordan Richards
• Matthew Sainsbury-Dale
• Andrew Zammit Mangion

Neural conditional simulation for complex spatial processes

Format: IPS Abstract

On Generalized Mean Reverting Processes with Real Data Application

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• severien Nkurunziza

On a topological data analysis approach for detecting clusters

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Yulia Gel
• Asim Kumer Dey

Operational use of wildfire growth modelling and real-time risk assessment in Yukon, Canada

Format: IPS Abstract

Optimal Bayesian Designs for Detecting Temporal and Spatio-temporal Changes in Ecological Systems Using Mean Field Variational Bayes

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• James McGree
• Helen Thompson
• Rebecca Fisher
• Ben Radford

Predictions of damages from Atlantic Tropical Cyclones: a Hierarchical Bayesian study on extremes

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Snigdhansu Chatterjee
• Auroop Ganguly
• Vishal Subedi
• Lindsey Dietz

Quantifying linked rare events in fish and environmental Chesapeake Bay time series

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Geneviève Nesslage
• Vivek Veluvali
• Eric Durell
• Troy Tuckey
• Mary Fabrizio

ReefCloud: AI to classify ecological communities

Format: IPS Abstract

Residual Tree Gaussian Processes

Format: IPS Abstract

Robust Change Point Analysis for Functional Data

Format: IPS Abstract

Robustness of point process species distribution models to misspecified temporal support

Format: IPS Abstract

SAR – Multispectral data fusion with higher order singular value decomposition

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Srinivas Koduri

Scale in coral reef surveying, a case study in Timor-Leste

Format: IPS Abstract

Semisupervised Graph Neural Networks for West Nile virus forecasting

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Ethan Greiffenstein
• Rebecca Smith

Skewed multivariate distributions for spatial data and their extreme-value limits

Format: IPS Abstract

Spatial smoothing of elemental composition with extremely high outliers

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Suman Rakshit
• Stephanie Hogg
• Rebecca OLeary
• Adrian Baddeley

Tail Estimation of the Spectral Density under Fixed Domain Asymptotics

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Chae Young Lim
• Joonho Shin

Temporal Embeddings for Animal Movement Trajectory Interpolation

Format: IPS Abstract

The GALLANT project: Deep learning pipelines for urban environmental data integration

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Claire Miller
• marian scott

The dual benefits of community-centred air pollution modelling

Format: IPS Abstract

The use of foundation models for Local Climate Zone Mapping and Urban Heat Island Studies

Format: IPS Abstract

Use of Time Series Clustering for Intermediate-Term Fire Activity Forecasting

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• John Braun
• Lengyi Han

Using spectral colour measurements to monitor conditions of indigenous rock art

Format: IPS Abstract

Co-author:

• Suman Rakshit
• Adrian Baddeley