Scientific Programme
Welcome to the TIES 2024 conference programme.
Times listed below are in the Australia/Adelaide timezone.
Monday, 2 December 2024
08:00 -
09:00
Registration
Registration
Foyer
08:00 - 09:00
Registration
Registration
Foyer
09:00 -
09:30
Opening
Opening Ceremony
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
09:00 - 09:30
Opening
Opening Ceremony
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
Chair: Belinda Chiera
Short Description
09:30 -
10:30
Key-note Plenary 1 - President's Invited Lecture
Plenary
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
09:30 - 10:30
Key-note Plenary 1 - President's Invited Lecture
Plenary
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
SIPS Abstract 3330 - Prediction and Projection of weather and climate extremes
Presenter/Speaker: Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick
Chair: John Boland
Short Description
10:30 -
11:00
Morning Tea
Coffee break
Foyer
10:30 - 11:00
Morning Tea
Coffee break
Foyer
11:00 -
12:30
Invited Session 1A - Change-Point, Mean Reverting Process Estimation and Inference for Environmental Assessment
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
11:00 - 12:30
Invited Session 1A - Change-Point, Mean Reverting Process Estimation and Inference for Environmental Assessment
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3516 - Robust Change Point Analysis for Functional Data
Presenter/Speaker: Shojaeddin Chenouri
IPS Abstract 3379 - Estimation and Inference in a Tensor Regression Model with Change-points with environmental application
Presenter/Speaker: Mai Ghannam
IPS Abstract 3015 - On Generalized Mean Reverting Processes with Real Data Application
Presenter/Speaker: Yunhong Lyu
Chair: Abdel H. El-Shaarawi
11:00 -
12:30
Invited Session 1B - Statistics for Securing Antarctica's Environmental Future
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
11:00 - 12:30
Invited Session 1B - Statistics for Securing Antarctica's Environmental Future
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3307 - Climate downscaling for inferring bryophyte diversity in East Antarctica
Presenter/Speaker: Noel Cressie
IPS Abstract 3333 - Calibration of ice sheet models using neural Bayes estimators
Presenter/Speaker: Bao Anh Vu
IPS Abstract 3321 - Model-based inference for spatial biological-dissimilarity indices
Presenter/Speaker: Xiaotian Zheng
Chair: Josh Jacobson
12:30 -
13:30
Lunch
Lunch
Foyer
12:30 - 13:30
Lunch
Lunch
Foyer
13:30 -
15:00
Invited Session 2A - Tools for the Energy Transition
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
13:30 - 15:00
Invited Session 2A - Tools for the Energy Transition
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 2944 - Finding Dunkelflaute - estimating the probability of successive days of low Variable Renewable Energy (VRE)
Presenter/Speaker: John Boland
IPS Abstract 3509 - Measuring the performance of distributed rooftop photovoltaic generation estimates in the absence of counterfactuals
Presenter/Speaker: Adrian Grantham
IPS Abstract 2956 - A standardised sky-condition classification method for multiple timescales and its applications in renewable energy industry
Presenter/Speaker: Shukla Poddar
IPS Abstract 3406 - Characterising Renewable Generation in the Grid
Presenter/Speaker: Luigi Cirocco
13:30 -
15:00
Invited Session 2B - Advances in environmental studies using topological data analysis
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
13:30 - 15:00
Invited Session 2B - Advances in environmental studies using topological data analysis
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3505 - Leveraging Topological and Geometric Deep Learning for Wildfire Risk Analytics
Presenter/Speaker: Yulia Gel
IPS Abstract 2990 - Application of topological data analysis to multi-resolution matching of aerosol optical depth maps
Presenter/Speaker: Dorcas Ofori-Boateng
IPS Abstract 3377 - On a topological data analysis approach for detecting clusters
Presenter/Speaker: Ansu Chatterjee
Chair: Snigdhansu Chatterjee
Discussant: Auroop Ganguly
15:00 -
15:30
Break
Coffee break
Foyer
15:00 - 15:30
Break
Coffee break
Foyer
15:30 -
17:00
Contributed Session 3A
CPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
15:30 - 17:00
Contributed Session 3A
CPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 3507 - Statistical challenges in air quality data sets
Presenter/Speaker: Alessandro Fasso
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2909 - Tessellation stratified sampling for assessing and monitoring natural resources and biodiversity
Presenter/Speaker: Caterina Pisani
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2915 - Regularized Dirichlet-Tree Regression for Modelling Benthic Macroinvertebrate Counts in Canada’s Oil Sands Region
Presenter/Speaker: Alysha Cooper
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2164 - Declining Collections and ‘Collecting Smarter’: Data-Driven Approaches to Sampling Design and Research Prioritisation in Ecology
Presenter/Speaker: Owen Forbes
Chair: Raphael Huser
15:30 -
17:00
Contributed Session 3B
CPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
15:30 - 17:00
Contributed Session 3B
CPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2814 - Leveraging Big Data and AI for Disaster Resilience and Recovery: A Step towards a Safer Future
Presenter/Speaker: Mr Md Shariful Islam
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2821 - Lies, Damn Lies, and an Illusionary Measure of Renewable Energy Predictability: The Case of Wind Energy Generation Forecasting in Ireland
Presenter/Speaker: Dr Kevin Forbes
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2848 - CO2, Surface Radiation, and Meteorological Outcomes in the Polar Regions
Presenter/Speaker: Kevin Forbes
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2907 - Quantifying Spatial and Temporal Variation in Injury-Related Bloodstream Infections across Queensland, 2000-2019
Presenter/Speaker: Binuri Perera
Chair: Hsin-Cheng Huang
17:00 -
19:00
Welcome Reception
Networking / Reception
Foyer
17:00 - 19:00
Welcome Reception
Networking / Reception
Foyer
Tuesday, 3 December 2024
09:30 -
11:00
Invited Session 4A - Environmetrics and the Preservation of Aboriginal Rock Art
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
09:30 - 11:00
Invited Session 4A - Environmetrics and the Preservation of Aboriginal Rock Art
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3350 - Using spectral colour measurements to monitor conditions of indigenous rock art
Presenter/Speaker: Rebecca O'Leary
IPS Abstract 3346 - Estimation of porosity profiles for indigenous petroglyphs
Presenter/Speaker: Stephanie Hogg
IPS Abstract 3328 - Spatial smoothing of elemental composition with extremely high outliers
Presenter/Speaker: Mohomed Abraj
Chair: Noel Cressie
09:30 -
11:00
Invited Session 4B - Statistical Methods for Understanding Human and Environment Interactions: Building on Latent Processes
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
09:30 - 11:00
Invited Session 4B - Statistical Methods for Understanding Human and Environment Interactions: Building on Latent Processes
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3007 - GEOBEx a Statistical Method for Air Quality Level Predictions
Presenter/Speaker: Carolina Euan Campos
IPS Abstract 2974 - Estimating sources of particle matter: A functional data modelling approach
Presenter/Speaker: Israel Martinez Hernandez
IPS Abstract 2274 - A Bayesian Multisource Fusion Model for Spatiotemporal PM2.5 and NO2 Concentrations: For Exposure Health Assessment in an Urban Setting
Presenter/Speaker: Abi Riley
IPS Abstract 3427 - Monitoring and predicting food insecurity from population non-representative survey and satellite imagery
Presenter/Speaker: Sahoko Ishida
Chair: Hanlin Shang
11:00 -
11:30
Morning Tea
Coffee break
Foyer
11:00 - 11:30
Morning Tea
Coffee break
Foyer
11:30 -
12:15
AEEI 2024 Award Plenary
Plenary
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
11:30 - 12:15
AEEI 2024 Award Plenary
Plenary
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
SIPS Abstract - TIES 2024 3294 - Scaling individual movement to population dynamics for joint inference on animal telemetry and abundance data.
Presenter/Speaker: Ephraim Hanks
Chair: Abdel H. El-Shaarawi
Chair: Claire Ann Miller
Short Description
12:15 -
13:00
Lunch
Lunch
Foyer
12:15 - 13:00
Lunch
Lunch
Foyer
13:00 -
14:30
Contributed Session 5A
CPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
13:00 - 14:30
Contributed Session 5A
CPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2905 - A Bayesian hierarchical spatio-temporal model with physical barriers to model extreme sea-level data in Ireland
Presenter/Speaker: Fernando Mayer
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2882 - Modeling an introduction of invasive alien species through container cargo considering the logistics network
Presenter/Speaker: Shota Homma
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2880 - A Bayesian hierarchical model for CO2 flux estimation with multivariate satellite data
Presenter/Speaker: Josh Jacobson
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2916 - Improving Crop Variety Recommendations for Farmers: An Integrated Approach using Machine Learning, Genetics, and Climate Data
Presenter/Speaker: Patrick McMIllan
Chair: Nathaniel Newlands
13:00 -
14:30
Contributed Session 5B
CPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
13:00 - 14:30
Contributed Session 5B
CPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2906 - Climate Control with Vegetation in a Domestic Setting
Presenter/Speaker: John Boland
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2845 - Statistical Analysis of Hydroclimatic Trends and Variability in an Urbanising Catchment
Presenter/Speaker: Tesfa Gebrie Andualem
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2820 - Agriculture Land Suitability Modelling with Deep Learning and Remote Sensing Data
Presenter/Speaker: Amanjot Bhullar
CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2854 - Statistical modelling with climate change in relation to rainfall and temperature changes in Murray Mallee and Upper Eyre Peninsula
Presenter/Speaker: Sachinda Ekanayake
Chair: Carolina Euan Campos
Presenter/Speaker: John Boland
14:30 -
15:00
Break
Coffee break
Foyer
14:30 - 15:00
Break
Coffee break
Foyer
15:00 -
16:30
Invited Session 6A - Forecasting and variability in environmental and climate data
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
15:00 - 16:30
Invited Session 6A - Forecasting and variability in environmental and climate data
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3502 - Advancing High Mountain Precipitation Reconstruction through Merging of Multiple Data Sources
Presenter/Speaker: Ashish Sharma
IPS Abstract 3304 - Predictions of damages from Atlantic Tropical Cyclones: a Hierarchical Bayesian study on extremes
Presenter/Speaker: Sakshi Arya
IPS Abstract 3508 - Adapting communities & the planet to global change with novel physics-AI-Human systems
Presenter/Speaker: Auroop Ganguly
Chair: Snigdhansu Chatterjee
Discussant: Yulia Gel
Presenter/Speaker: Auroop Ganguly
15:00 -
16:30
Invited Session 6B - Data fusion and integration for environmental applications
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
15:00 - 16:30
Invited Session 6B - Data fusion and integration for environmental applications
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 2973 - The dual benefits of community-centred air pollution modelling
Presenter/Speaker: Craig Anderson
IPS Abstract 3332 - The GALLANT project: Deep learning pipelines for urban environmental data integration
Presenter/Speaker: LUIGI CAO PINNA
IPS Abstract 3407 - ReefCloud: AI to classify ecological communities
Presenter/Speaker: Julie Vercelloni
Chair: Claire Ann Miller
Wednesday, 4 December 2024
08:30 -
09:30
TIES AGM
General Assembly
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
08:30 - 09:30
TIES AGM
General Assembly
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
Short Description
09:30 -
11:00
Invited Session 7A - Wildland Fire Management and Research
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
09:30 - 11:00
Invited Session 7A - Wildland Fire Management and Research
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3450 - A Markov Chain Modulated Random Coefficient Minification Time Series Model for the Fire Weather Index
Presenter/Speaker: Lengyi Han
IPS Abstract 3405 - Operational use of wildfire growth modelling and real-time risk assessment in Yukon, Canada
Presenter/Speaker: Jaclyn Semple
IPS Abstract 3445 - Use of Time Series Clustering for Intermediate-Term Fire Activity Forecasting
Presenter/Speaker: Simon Marcus
Chair: Sylvia Esterby
09:30 -
11:00
Invited Session 7B - Advanced Statistical Approaches to Coral Reef Modelling and Monitoring
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
09:30 - 11:00
Invited Session 7B - Advanced Statistical Approaches to Coral Reef Modelling and Monitoring
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3479 - Optimal Bayesian Designs for Detecting Temporal and Spatio-temporal Changes in Ecological Systems Using Mean Field Variational Bayes
Presenter/Speaker: Dilishiya De Silva
IPS Abstract 3429 - Scale in coral reef surveying, a case study in Timor-Leste
Presenter/Speaker: Catherine Kim
IPS Abstract 3042 - Mathematical modelling and uncertainty quantification for analysis of biphasic coral reef recovery patterns
Presenter/Speaker: David Warne
IPS Abstract 3313 - How Bayesian Inference can support mechanistic models of coral reef health
Presenter/Speaker: Matthew Adams
Chair: Helen Thompson
11:00 -
11:30
Morning Tea
Coffee break
Foyer
11:00 - 11:30
Morning Tea
Coffee break
Foyer
11:30 -
12:15
Wiley-TIES Best Paper 2023 plenary
Plenary
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
11:30 - 12:15
Wiley-TIES Best Paper 2023 plenary
Plenary
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
SIPS Abstract 3520 - Bayesian geostatistical modeling for discrete-valued processes
Presenter/Speaker: Xiaotian Zheng
Chair: Alessandro Fasso
12:15 -
13:00
Lunch
Lunch
Foyer
12:15 - 13:00
Lunch
Lunch
Foyer
13:00 -
14:30
Invited Session 8A - Bayesian Models And Methods In Environmental Applications
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
13:00 - 14:30
Invited Session 8A - Bayesian Models And Methods In Environmental Applications
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 2960 - Neural Bayes Estimators for Censored Inference with Peaks-over-threshold Models
Presenter/Speaker: Raphael Huser
IPS Abstract 3308 - CQUESST: A Bayesian Framework for Soil-Carbon Sequestration
Presenter/Speaker: Dan Pagendam
IPS Abstract 3503 - Neural conditional simulation for complex spatial processes
Presenter/Speaker: Julia Walchessen
IPS Abstract 3318 - GeoWarp: Warped spatial processes for inferring subsea sediment properties
Presenter/Speaker: Michael Bertolacci
Chair: Andrew Zammit Mangion
13:00 -
14:30
Invited Session 8B - Innovations in Wildfire Risk Modeling: Exploring Fire-Weather, Climate, and Fuel Ecology Dynamics as Drivers of Occurrence and Spread
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
13:00 - 14:30
Invited Session 8B - Innovations in Wildfire Risk Modeling: Exploring Fire-Weather, Climate, and Fuel Ecology Dynamics as Drivers of Occurrence and Spread
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3401 - A Case Study on Fuel Treatment Effects in Southwestern British Columbia: Surprises found in a Scenario Analysis
Presenter/Speaker: John Braun
IPS Abstract 3447 - Common challenges limit applications of landscape-fire-succession models to understand fire-vegetation feedbacks
Presenter/Speaker: Jen Baron
IPS Abstract 2934 - Challenges calibrating machine learning models when predicting rare events, with applications to wildfire occurrence prediction
Presenter/Speaker: Nathan Phelps
Chair: Khurram Nadeem
IPS Abstract 3402 - Classifying mixtures of forest and grassland fuel types using fuzzy clustering for wildfire spread estimation
Presenter/Speaker: John Thompson
Thursday, 5 December 2024
09:30 -
11:00
Invited Session 9A - Recent Advancements in Spatial and Spatiotemporal Statistics
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
09:30 - 11:00
Invited Session 9A - Recent Advancements in Spatial and Spatiotemporal Statistics
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3510 - Residual Tree Gaussian Processes
Presenter/Speaker: Pulong Ma
IPS Abstract 3309 - Exploring Multivariate Spatiotemporal Data with Geographically-constrained Spectral Clustering
Presenter/Speaker: ShengLi Tzeng
IPS Abstract 3443 - Tail Estimation of the Spectral Density under Fixed Domain Asymptotics
Presenter/Speaker: Wei-Ying Wu
IPS Abstract 3372 - Multi-Resolution Spatial Methods on the Sphere
Presenter/Speaker: Hao-Yun Huang
Chair: Hsin-Cheng Huang
09:30 -
11:00
Invited Session 9B - Modern Approaches for Scientific Inference and Uncertainty Quantification
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
09:30 - 11:00
Invited Session 9B - Modern Approaches for Scientific Inference and Uncertainty Quantification
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3511 - Elegance or Complexity in Spatial Models?
Presenter/Speaker: Edward Boone
IPS Abstract 3035 - Bayesian Melding for Agent Based Stochastic Models
Presenter/Speaker: Anton Westveld
IPS Abstract 3380 - Deciphering changes in biodiversity: towards a unified approach
Presenter/Speaker: Hideyasu Shimadzu
IPS Abstract 3041 - Developments in Scalable Posterior Sampling through Random Weighting
Presenter/Speaker: Santiago Marin
Chair: Grace Chiu
11:00 -
11:30
Morning Tea
Coffee break
Foyer
11:00 - 11:30
Morning Tea
Coffee break
Foyer
11:30 -
12:30
Key-note Plenary 2 - J.S. Hunter Invited Lecture
Plenary
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
11:30 - 12:30
Key-note Plenary 2 - J.S. Hunter Invited Lecture
Plenary
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
SIPS Abstract 3289 - Neural Methods for Amortised Inference in Environmental Applications
Presenter/Speaker: Andrew Zammit Mangion
Chair: Belinda Chiera
12:30 -
13:30
Lunch
Lunch
Foyer
12:30 - 13:30
Lunch
Lunch
Foyer
13:30 -
15:00
Invited Session 10A - Size Estimation and Impact Assessment in Biological Populations
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
13:30 - 15:00
Invited Session 10A - Size Estimation and Impact Assessment in Biological Populations
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3387 - Modelling Count Data in the Presence of Intervention
Presenter/Speaker: Abdel H. El-Shaarawi
IPS Abstract 2943 - Quantifying linked rare events in fish and environmental Chesapeake Bay time series
Presenter/Speaker: Vyacheslav Lyubchich
Chair: Sylvia Esterby
13:30 -
15:00
Invited Session 10B - Modern applied and theoretical approaches to environmental statistics
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
13:30 - 15:00
Invited Session 10B - Modern applied and theoretical approaches to environmental statistics
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3264 - Skewed multivariate distributions for spatial data and their extreme-value limits
Presenter/Speaker: Mr Pavel Krupskiy
IPS Abstract 3376 - Functional time series forecasting with dynamic updating: An application to intraday particulate matter concentration
Presenter/Speaker: Hanlin Shang
IPS Abstract 3322 - Ice sea the future: statistical machine learning to predict Antarctic sea ice with quantified uncertainty
Presenter/Speaker: Jacinta Holloway-Brown
IPS Abstract 3314 - SAR – Multispectral data fusion with higher order singular value decomposition
Presenter/Speaker: Srinivas Koduri
Chair: Israel Martinez Hernandez
15:00 -
15:30
Break
Coffee break
Foyer
15:00 - 15:30
Break
Coffee break
Foyer
15:30 -
17:00
Invited Session 11A - Advanced Statistical Methods for Climate Data Analysis
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
15:30 - 17:00
Invited Session 11A - Advanced Statistical Methods for Climate Data Analysis
IPS
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3504 - The use of foundation models for Local Climate Zone Mapping and Urban Heat Island Studies
Presenter/Speaker: Zhengyuan Zhu
IPS Abstract 2946 - Integrating Historical Records and Climate Models for Temperature Reconstruction in East Asia (1403-1911)
Presenter/Speaker: Hsin-Cheng Huang
IPS Abstract 3498 - A spatial hierarchical model with temporal effects for analyzing extreme rainfall in Taiwan
Presenter/Speaker: Chun-Shu Chen
Chair: Pulong Ma
15:30 -
17:00
Invited Session 11B - Predictive Modeling of Complex Environmental Data in Agriculture and Ecology
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
15:30 - 17:00
Invited Session 11B - Predictive Modeling of Complex Environmental Data in Agriculture and Ecology
IPS
F1-25 Lecture Theatre
IPS Abstract 3437 - Temporal Embeddings for Animal Movement Trajectory Interpolation
Presenter/Speaker: Toryn Schafer
IPS Abstract 3515 - Robustness of point process species distribution models to misspecified temporal support
Presenter/Speaker: Narmadha Meenu Mohankumar
IPS Abstract 2935 - Modeling high and low extremes with a novel dynamic spatio-temporal model
Presenter/Speaker: Likun Zhang
IPS Abstract 3211 - Dimension Reduction for Multivariate Spatial Data
Presenter/Speaker: Hossein Moradi Rekabdarkolaee
Chair: Hossein Moradi Rekabdarkolaee
17:00 -
18:00
Conference close and student prizes
Closing Ceremony
F1-24 Lecture Theatre
17:00 - 18:00
Conference close and student prizes
Closing Ceremony
F1-24 Lecture Theatre