TIES 2024

TIES 2024

Scientific Programme

Welcome to the TIES 2024 conference programme.

Times listed below are in the Australia/Adelaide timezone.

Monday, 2 December 2024

08:00 - 09:00

Registration

Registration

Foyer

09:00 - 09:30

Opening

Opening Ceremony

F1-24 Lecture Theatre

  • Chair: Belinda Chiera

Short Description

Welcome from John Boland Welcome from Country Deputy Premier and Minister for the Environment of South Australia

09:30 - 10:30

Key-note Plenary 1 - President's Invited Lecture

Plenary

F1-24 Lecture Theatre

  • SIPS Abstract 3330 - Prediction and Projection of weather and climate extremes

    Presenter/Speaker: Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick

  • Chair: John Boland

Short Description

President's Invited Lecture

10:30 - 11:00

Morning Tea

Coffee break

Foyer

11:00 - 12:30

Invited Session 1A - Change-Point, Mean Reverting Process Estimation and Inference for Environmental Assessment

IPS

F1-24 Lecture Theatre

  • IPS Abstract 3516 - Robust Change Point Analysis for Functional Data

    Presenter/Speaker: Shojaeddin Chenouri

  • IPS Abstract 3379 - Estimation and Inference in a Tensor Regression Model with Change-points with environmental application

    Presenter/Speaker: Mai Ghannam

  • IPS Abstract 3015 - On Generalized Mean Reverting Processes with Real Data Application

    Presenter/Speaker: Yunhong Lyu

  • Chair: Abdel H. El-Shaarawi

11:00 - 12:30

Invited Session 1B - Statistics for Securing Antarctica's Environmental Future

IPS

F1-25 Lecture Theatre

  • IPS Abstract 3307 - Climate downscaling for inferring bryophyte diversity in East Antarctica

    Presenter/Speaker: Noel Cressie

  • IPS Abstract 3333 - Calibration of ice sheet models using neural Bayes estimators

    Presenter/Speaker: Bao Anh Vu

  • IPS Abstract 3321 - Model-based inference for spatial biological-dissimilarity indices

    Presenter/Speaker: Xiaotian Zheng

  • Chair: Josh Jacobson

12:30 - 13:30

Lunch

Lunch

Foyer

13:30 - 15:00

Invited Session 2A - Tools for the Energy Transition

IPS

F1-24 Lecture Theatre

  • IPS Abstract 2944 - Finding Dunkelflaute - estimating the probability of successive days of low Variable Renewable Energy (VRE)

    Presenter/Speaker: John Boland

  • IPS Abstract 3509 - Measuring the performance of distributed rooftop photovoltaic generation estimates in the absence of counterfactuals

    Presenter/Speaker: Adrian Grantham

  • IPS Abstract 2956 - A standardised sky-condition classification method for multiple timescales and its applications in renewable energy industry

    Presenter/Speaker: Shukla Poddar

  • IPS Abstract 3406 - Characterising Renewable Generation in the Grid

    Presenter/Speaker: Luigi Cirocco

13:30 - 15:00

Invited Session 2B - Advances in environmental studies using topological data analysis

IPS

F1-25 Lecture Theatre

  • IPS Abstract 3505 - Leveraging Topological and Geometric Deep Learning for Wildfire Risk Analytics

    Presenter/Speaker: Yulia Gel

  • IPS Abstract 2990 - Application of topological data analysis to multi-resolution matching of aerosol optical depth maps

    Presenter/Speaker: Dorcas Ofori-Boateng

  • IPS Abstract 3377 - On a topological data analysis approach for detecting clusters

    Presenter/Speaker: Ansu Chatterjee

  • Chair: Snigdhansu Chatterjee

  • Discussant: Auroop Ganguly

15:00 - 15:30

Break

Coffee break

Foyer

15:30 - 17:00

Contributed Session 3A

CPS

F1-24 Lecture Theatre

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 3507 - Statistical challenges in air quality data sets

    Presenter/Speaker: Alessandro Fasso

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2909 - Tessellation stratified sampling for assessing and monitoring natural resources and biodiversity

    Presenter/Speaker: Caterina Pisani

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2915 - Regularized Dirichlet-Tree Regression for Modelling Benthic Macroinvertebrate Counts in Canada’s Oil Sands Region

    Presenter/Speaker: Alysha Cooper

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2164 - Declining Collections and ‘Collecting Smarter’: Data-Driven Approaches to Sampling Design and Research Prioritisation in Ecology

    Presenter/Speaker: Owen Forbes

  • Chair: Raphael Huser

15:30 - 17:00

Contributed Session 3B

CPS

F1-25 Lecture Theatre

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2814 - Leveraging Big Data and AI for Disaster Resilience and Recovery: A Step towards a Safer Future

    Presenter/Speaker: Mr Md Shariful Islam

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2821 - Lies, Damn Lies, and an Illusionary Measure of Renewable Energy Predictability: The Case of Wind Energy Generation Forecasting in Ireland

    Presenter/Speaker: Dr Kevin Forbes

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2848 - CO2, Surface Radiation, and Meteorological Outcomes in the Polar Regions

    Presenter/Speaker: Kevin Forbes

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2907 - Quantifying Spatial and Temporal Variation in Injury-Related Bloodstream Infections across Queensland, 2000-2019

    Presenter/Speaker: Binuri Perera

  • Chair: Hsin-Cheng Huang

17:00 - 19:00

Welcome Reception

Networking / Reception

Foyer

Tuesday, 3 December 2024

09:30 - 11:00

Invited Session 4A - Environmetrics and the Preservation of Aboriginal Rock Art

IPS

F1-24 Lecture Theatre

  • IPS Abstract 3350 - Using spectral colour measurements to monitor conditions of indigenous rock art

    Presenter/Speaker: Rebecca O'Leary

  • IPS Abstract 3346 - Estimation of porosity profiles for indigenous petroglyphs

    Presenter/Speaker: Stephanie Hogg

  • IPS Abstract 3328 - Spatial smoothing of elemental composition with extremely high outliers

    Presenter/Speaker: Mohomed Abraj

  • Chair: Noel Cressie

09:30 - 11:00

Invited Session 4B - Statistical Methods for Understanding Human and Environment Interactions: Building on Latent Processes

IPS

F1-25 Lecture Theatre

  • IPS Abstract 3007 - GEOBEx a Statistical Method for Air Quality Level Predictions

    Presenter/Speaker: Carolina Euan Campos

  • IPS Abstract 2974 - Estimating sources of particle matter: A functional data modelling approach

    Presenter/Speaker: Israel Martinez Hernandez

  • IPS Abstract 2274 - A Bayesian Multisource Fusion Model for Spatiotemporal PM2.5 and NO2 Concentrations: For Exposure Health Assessment in an Urban Setting

    Presenter/Speaker: Abi Riley

  • IPS Abstract 3427 - Monitoring and predicting food insecurity from population non-representative survey and satellite imagery

    Presenter/Speaker: Sahoko Ishida

  • Chair: Hanlin Shang

11:00 - 11:30

Morning Tea

Coffee break

Foyer

11:30 - 12:15

AEEI 2024 Award Plenary

Plenary

F1-24 Lecture Theatre

  • SIPS Abstract - TIES 2024 3294 - Scaling individual movement to population dynamics for joint inference on animal telemetry and abundance data.

    Presenter/Speaker: Ephraim Hanks

  • Chair: Abdel H. El-Shaarawi

  • Chair: Claire Ann Miller

Short Description

Abdel El-Shaarawi Early Investigator Award Lecture

12:15 - 13:00

Lunch

Lunch

Foyer

13:00 - 14:30

Contributed Session 5A

CPS

F1-24 Lecture Theatre

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2905 - A Bayesian hierarchical spatio-temporal model with physical barriers to model extreme sea-level data in Ireland

    Presenter/Speaker: Fernando Mayer

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2882 - Modeling an introduction of invasive alien species through container cargo considering the logistics network

    Presenter/Speaker: Shota Homma

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2880 - A Bayesian hierarchical model for CO2 flux estimation with multivariate satellite data

    Presenter/Speaker: Josh Jacobson

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2916 - Improving Crop Variety Recommendations for Farmers: An Integrated Approach using Machine Learning, Genetics, and Climate Data

    Presenter/Speaker: Patrick McMIllan

  • Chair: Nathaniel Newlands

13:00 - 14:30

Contributed Session 5B

CPS

F1-25 Lecture Theatre

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2906 - Climate Control with Vegetation in a Domestic Setting

    Presenter/Speaker: John Boland

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2845 - Statistical Analysis of Hydroclimatic Trends and Variability in an Urbanising Catchment

    Presenter/Speaker: Tesfa Gebrie Andualem

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2820 - Agriculture Land Suitability Modelling with Deep Learning and Remote Sensing Data

    Presenter/Speaker: Amanjot Bhullar

  • CPS Abstract - TIES 2024 2854 - Statistical modelling with climate change in relation to rainfall and temperature changes in Murray Mallee and Upper Eyre Peninsula

    Presenter/Speaker: Sachinda Ekanayake

  • Chair: Carolina Euan Campos

  • Presenter/Speaker: John Boland

14:30 - 15:00

Break

Coffee break

Foyer

15:00 - 16:30

Invited Session 6A - Forecasting and variability in environmental and climate data

IPS

F1-24 Lecture Theatre

  • IPS Abstract 3502 - Advancing High Mountain Precipitation Reconstruction through Merging of Multiple Data Sources

    Presenter/Speaker: Ashish Sharma

  • IPS Abstract 3304 - Predictions of damages from Atlantic Tropical Cyclones: a Hierarchical Bayesian study on extremes

    Presenter/Speaker: Sakshi Arya

  • IPS Abstract 3508 - Adapting communities & the planet to global change with novel physics-AI-Human systems

    Presenter/Speaker: Auroop Ganguly

  • Chair: Snigdhansu Chatterjee

  • Discussant: Yulia Gel

  • Presenter/Speaker: Auroop Ganguly

15:00 - 16:30

Invited Session 6B - Data fusion and integration for environmental applications

IPS

F1-25 Lecture Theatre

  • IPS Abstract 2973 - The dual benefits of community-centred air pollution modelling

    Presenter/Speaker: Craig Anderson

  • IPS Abstract 3332 - The GALLANT project: Deep learning pipelines for urban environmental data integration

    Presenter/Speaker: LUIGI CAO PINNA

  • IPS Abstract 3407 - ReefCloud: AI to classify ecological communities

    Presenter/Speaker: Julie Vercelloni

  • Chair: Claire Ann Miller

Wednesday, 4 December 2024

08:30 - 09:30

TIES AGM

General Assembly

F1-24 Lecture Theatre

    Short Description

    Annual General Meeting of The International Environmetrics Society

    09:30 - 11:00

    Invited Session 7A - Wildland Fire Management and Research

    IPS

    F1-24 Lecture Theatre

    • IPS Abstract 3450 - A Markov Chain Modulated Random Coefficient Minification Time Series Model for the Fire Weather Index

      Presenter/Speaker: Lengyi Han

    • IPS Abstract 3405 - Operational use of wildfire growth modelling and real-time risk assessment in Yukon, Canada

      Presenter/Speaker: Jaclyn Semple

    • IPS Abstract 3445 - Use of Time Series Clustering for Intermediate-Term Fire Activity Forecasting

      Presenter/Speaker: Simon Marcus

    • Chair: Sylvia Esterby

    09:30 - 11:00

    Invited Session 7B - Advanced Statistical Approaches to Coral Reef Modelling and Monitoring

    IPS

    F1-25 Lecture Theatre

    • IPS Abstract 3479 - Optimal Bayesian Designs for Detecting Temporal and Spatio-temporal Changes in Ecological Systems Using Mean Field Variational Bayes

      Presenter/Speaker: Dilishiya De Silva

    • IPS Abstract 3429 - Scale in coral reef surveying, a case study in Timor-Leste

      Presenter/Speaker: Catherine Kim

    • IPS Abstract 3042 - Mathematical modelling and uncertainty quantification for analysis of biphasic coral reef recovery patterns

      Presenter/Speaker: David Warne

    • IPS Abstract 3313 - How Bayesian Inference can support mechanistic models of coral reef health

      Presenter/Speaker: Matthew Adams

    • Chair: Helen Thompson

    11:00 - 11:30

    Morning Tea

    Coffee break

    Foyer

    11:30 - 12:15

    Wiley-TIES Best Paper 2023 plenary

    Plenary

    F1-24 Lecture Theatre

    • SIPS Abstract 3520 - Bayesian geostatistical modeling for discrete-valued processes

      Presenter/Speaker: Xiaotian Zheng

    • Chair: Alessandro Fasso

    12:15 - 13:00

    Lunch

    Lunch

    Foyer

    13:00 - 14:30

    Invited Session 8A - Bayesian Models And Methods In Environmental Applications

    IPS

    F1-24 Lecture Theatre

    • IPS Abstract 2960 - Neural Bayes Estimators for Censored Inference with Peaks-over-threshold Models

      Presenter/Speaker: Raphael Huser

    • IPS Abstract 3308 - CQUESST: A Bayesian Framework for Soil-Carbon Sequestration

      Presenter/Speaker: Dan Pagendam

    • IPS Abstract 3503 - Neural conditional simulation for complex spatial processes

      Presenter/Speaker: Julia Walchessen

    • IPS Abstract 3318 - GeoWarp: Warped spatial processes for inferring subsea sediment properties

      Presenter/Speaker: Michael Bertolacci

    • Chair: Andrew Zammit Mangion

    13:00 - 14:30

    Invited Session 8B - Innovations in Wildfire Risk Modeling: Exploring Fire-Weather, Climate, and Fuel Ecology Dynamics as Drivers of Occurrence and Spread

    IPS

    F1-25 Lecture Theatre

    • IPS Abstract 3401 - A Case Study on Fuel Treatment Effects in Southwestern British Columbia: Surprises found in a Scenario Analysis

      Presenter/Speaker: John Braun

    • IPS Abstract 3447 - Common challenges limit applications of landscape-fire-succession models to understand fire-vegetation feedbacks

      Presenter/Speaker: Jen Baron

    • IPS Abstract 2934 - Challenges calibrating machine learning models when predicting rare events, with applications to wildfire occurrence prediction

      Presenter/Speaker: Nathan Phelps

    • Chair: Khurram Nadeem

    • IPS Abstract 3402 - Classifying mixtures of forest and grassland fuel types using fuzzy clustering for wildfire spread estimation

      Presenter/Speaker: John Thompson

    Thursday, 5 December 2024

    09:30 - 11:00

    Invited Session 9A - Recent Advancements in Spatial and Spatiotemporal Statistics

    IPS

    F1-24 Lecture Theatre

    • IPS Abstract 3510 - Residual Tree Gaussian Processes

      Presenter/Speaker: Pulong Ma

    • IPS Abstract 3309 - Exploring Multivariate Spatiotemporal Data with Geographically-constrained Spectral Clustering

      Presenter/Speaker: ShengLi Tzeng

    • IPS Abstract 3443 - Tail Estimation of the Spectral Density under Fixed Domain Asymptotics

      Presenter/Speaker: Wei-Ying Wu

    • IPS Abstract 3372 - Multi-Resolution Spatial Methods on the Sphere

      Presenter/Speaker: Hao-Yun Huang

    • Chair: Hsin-Cheng Huang

    09:30 - 11:00

    Invited Session 9B - Modern Approaches for Scientific Inference and Uncertainty Quantification

    IPS

    F1-25 Lecture Theatre

    • IPS Abstract 3511 - Elegance or Complexity in Spatial Models?

      Presenter/Speaker: Edward Boone

    • IPS Abstract 3035 - Bayesian Melding for Agent Based Stochastic Models

      Presenter/Speaker: Anton Westveld

    • IPS Abstract 3380 - Deciphering changes in biodiversity: towards a unified approach

      Presenter/Speaker: Hideyasu Shimadzu

    • IPS Abstract 3041 - Developments in Scalable Posterior Sampling through Random Weighting

      Presenter/Speaker: Santiago Marin

    • Chair: Grace Chiu

    11:00 - 11:30

    Morning Tea

    Coffee break

    Foyer

    11:30 - 12:30

    Key-note Plenary 2 - J.S. Hunter Invited Lecture

    Plenary

    F1-24 Lecture Theatre

    • SIPS Abstract 3289 - Neural Methods for Amortised Inference in Environmental Applications

      Presenter/Speaker: Andrew Zammit Mangion

    • Chair: Belinda Chiera

    12:30 - 13:30

    Lunch

    Lunch

    Foyer

    13:30 - 15:00

    Invited Session 10A - Size Estimation and Impact Assessment in Biological Populations

    IPS

    F1-24 Lecture Theatre

    • IPS Abstract 3387 - Modelling Count Data in the Presence of Intervention

      Presenter/Speaker: Abdel H. El-Shaarawi

    • IPS Abstract 2943 - Quantifying linked rare events in fish and environmental Chesapeake Bay time series

      Presenter/Speaker: Vyacheslav Lyubchich

    • Chair: Sylvia Esterby

    13:30 - 15:00

    Invited Session 10B - Modern applied and theoretical approaches to environmental statistics

    IPS

    F1-25 Lecture Theatre

    • IPS Abstract 3264 - Skewed multivariate distributions for spatial data and their extreme-value limits

      Presenter/Speaker: Mr Pavel Krupskiy

    • IPS Abstract 3376 - Functional time series forecasting with dynamic updating: An application to intraday particulate matter concentration

      Presenter/Speaker: Hanlin Shang

    • IPS Abstract 3322 - Ice sea the future: statistical machine learning to predict Antarctic sea ice with quantified uncertainty

      Presenter/Speaker: Jacinta Holloway-Brown

    • IPS Abstract 3314 - SAR – Multispectral data fusion with higher order singular value decomposition

      Presenter/Speaker: Srinivas Koduri

    • Chair: Israel Martinez Hernandez

    15:00 - 15:30

    Break

    Coffee break

    Foyer

    15:30 - 17:00

    Invited Session 11A - Advanced Statistical Methods for Climate Data Analysis

    IPS

    F1-24 Lecture Theatre

    • IPS Abstract 3504 - The use of foundation models for Local Climate Zone Mapping and Urban Heat Island Studies

      Presenter/Speaker: Zhengyuan Zhu

    • IPS Abstract 2946 - Integrating Historical Records and Climate Models for Temperature Reconstruction in East Asia (1403-1911)

      Presenter/Speaker: Hsin-Cheng Huang

    • IPS Abstract 3498 - A spatial hierarchical model with temporal effects for analyzing extreme rainfall in Taiwan

      Presenter/Speaker: Chun-Shu Chen

    • Chair: Pulong Ma

    15:30 - 17:00

    Invited Session 11B - Predictive Modeling of Complex Environmental Data in Agriculture and Ecology

    IPS

    F1-25 Lecture Theatre

    • IPS Abstract 3437 - Temporal Embeddings for Animal Movement Trajectory Interpolation

      Presenter/Speaker: Toryn Schafer

    • IPS Abstract 3515 - Robustness of point process species distribution models to misspecified temporal support

      Presenter/Speaker: Narmadha Meenu Mohankumar

    • IPS Abstract 2935 - Modeling high and low extremes with a novel dynamic spatio-temporal model

      Presenter/Speaker: Likun Zhang

    • IPS Abstract 3211 - Dimension Reduction for Multivariate Spatial Data

      Presenter/Speaker: Hossein Moradi Rekabdarkolaee

    • Chair: Hossein Moradi Rekabdarkolaee

    17:00 - 18:00

    Conference close and student prizes

    Closing Ceremony

    F1-24 Lecture Theatre


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