64th ISI World Statistics Congress

64th ISI World Statistics Congress

From skepticism to conviction: The emerging statistical methodologies in integrating satellite and reanalysis data with station data.

Author

BS
Bashiru I.I. Saeed

Co-author

  • C
    Caleb Nurideen Nambyn
  • A
    Amidu Abdul Hamid
  • E
    Ebenezer Tawiah Arhin

Conference

64th ISI World Statistics Congress

Format: CPS Paper

Keywords: "climate, chirts, data-validation, gap, reanalysis, satellite

Session: CPS 03 - Environmental statistics II and CPS 44 - Statistical Modelling II

Monday 17 July 8:30 a.m. - 9:40 a.m. (Canada/Eastern)

Abstract

Africa has just one-eighth the minimum density of weather stations recommended by the World Meteorological Organization, which means there is a problematic lack of data about dozens of countries that are among the most vulnerable to climate change. Historically, meteorological and climate research predominantly relied on ground-based station data, but inherent limitations, such as sparse coverage and potential biases, have prompted a paradigm shift towards the integration of satellite and reanalysis data. This shift, from skepticism to conviction, reflects the growing recognition of the value and potential inherent in merging satellite and reanalysis data with traditional station data. This transformation, while promising, introduces challenges in data harmonization, validation, and the development of robust statistical methodologies. The growing body of research into the validation and evaluation of satellite products at various regions is increasingly building confidence in the use of satellite based products for various applications.

This study highlighted emerging statistical methodologies in integrating satellite and reanalysis data with station data and also compared the daily temperature records from 2001 to 2015 from the CHIRTS satellite and station-based temperature network with temperature data records of at least 15 years' duration from three locations in Ghana. To evaluate CHIRTS performance, the station data were also contrasted with ERA5 temperatures. On the daily and monthly basis, the CHIRTS estimates showed good agreement with the station data than on the annual levels.

The CHIRTS dataset generally exhibited better correlations, lower errors, and more favorable Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency values compared to ERA5, indicating its better performance in estimating and predicting meteorological parameters at these stations. As we move forward in this era of climate uncertainty, harnessing the full potential of integrated data sources is paramount. The evolving landscape of statistical methodologies plays a pivotal role in this endeavor, facilitating a more comprehensive understanding of our changing climate. By bridging the gap between skepticism and conviction, we are better equipped to address the pressing issues of climate change and its far-reaching impacts.