65th ISI World Statistics Congress 2025

65th ISI World Statistics Congress 2025

Online Instability Detection in a Nonlinear Expectile Model

Conference

65th ISI World Statistics Congress 2025

Format: IPS Abstract - WSC 2025

Keywords: changepoints, expectile regression, resampling

Session: IPS 1040 - Resampling Methods and Structural Disorders

Tuesday 7 October 10:50 a.m. - 12:30 p.m. (Europe/Amsterdam)

Abstract

We discuss a problem of an online changepoint detection procedure for instabilities within a nonlinear expectile model. The underlying model is firstly trained using a historical dataset and, later, possible structural disorders of different types are detected in terms of a sequential statistical test. Resampling techniques are used to avoid plug-in methods when obtaining the limiting distribution of the test statistic. Theoretical properties are presented and finite sample empirical performance and real data applications are provided for a brier illustration.