65th ISI World Statistics Congress 2025

65th ISI World Statistics Congress 2025

Multivariate Temporal Point Process Regression

Author

LL
Prof. Lexin Li

Co-author

  • X
    Xiwei Tang

Conference

65th ISI World Statistics Congress 2025

Format: IPS Abstract - WSC 2025

Keywords: point process

Session: IPS 781 - Advanced Topics in Functional and Object Data Analysis

Monday 6 October 2 p.m. - 3:40 p.m. (Europe/Amsterdam)

Abstract

Point process modeling is gaining increasing attention, as point process type data are emerging in a large variety of scientific applications. Motivated by a neuronal spike trains study, in this talk, we discuss a novel point process regression model, where both the response and the predictor can be a high-dimensional point process. We model the predictor effects through the conditional intensities using a set of basis transferring functions in a convolutional fashion. We organize the corresponding transferring coefficients in the form of a three-way tensor, then impose the low-rank, sparsity, and subgroup structures on this coefficient tensor. These structures help reduce the dimensionality, integrate information across different individual processes, and facilitate the interpretation. We present a highly scalable optimization algorithm for parameter estimation. We derive the large sample error bound for the recovered coefficient tensor, and establish the subgroup identification consistency, while allowing the dimension of the multivariate point process to diverge. We show the efficacy of our method through both simulations and a cross-area neuronal spike trains analysis in a sensory cortex study.