65th ISI World Statistics Congress 2025

65th ISI World Statistics Congress 2025

Chemical reaction networks with reaction rates changing stochastically in time

Author

DC
Daniele Cappelletti

Co-author

  • C
    Carsten Wiuf
  • A
    Abhishek Pal Majumder
  • C
    Chuang Xu

Conference

65th ISI World Statistics Congress 2025

Format: IPS Abstract - WSC 2025

Keywords: markov-chain, microbiology

Session: IPS 709 - Stochastic Processes and Applications

Wednesday 8 October 10:50 a.m. - 12:30 p.m. (Europe/Amsterdam)

Abstract

Stochastic reaction networks are typically used as models in biochemistry. In their classical definition, the rates at which chemical reactions occur only depend on the current state. However this is not true in many biological systems, where the rate values at a given state fluctuate over time. I will present some models where the rates depend on both the current configuration and another stochastic process, which is not directly affected by the system of interest. I will focus on the study the positive recurrence of this more general model under the assumption of "monomolecularity". Here, under certain conditions, the stationary distribution exists and is a mixture of Poisson distributions, uniquely identified as the law of a fixed point of a stochastic recurrence equation. I will further show some results on models with rates that randomly switch between different fixed values.