IMPACT OF WAR ON THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM OF UKRAINE
Conference
65th ISI World Statistics Congress 2025
Format: CPS Abstract - WSC 2025
Keywords: banks, financial, households, system
Session: CPS 52 - Econometrics and Statistical Methods
Wednesday 8 October 4 p.m. - 5 p.m. (Europe/Amsterdam)
Abstract
The article examines the impact of the war on the financial system Ukraine, systematizes the mechanisms of manifestation of this impact. The features of the impact of the war on the economy in domestic conditions are revealed. The continuation of the war exacerbates most of the risks. The largest one, credit risk, is already being realized and the losses from it will grow in the future. Financial institutions are gradually recognizing credit losses and reflecting the impact of negative events on asset quality. Limited demand for loans, especially from households, worsening portfolio quality, and higher provisioning increases profitability risks.
The dynamics of the ratio of the volume of loans, bank deposits and other indicators of the financial system of Ukraine was analyzed. The role of bank lending in combating the consequences of military aggression is revealed, and measures aimed at mitigating its negative impact on the economy are substantiated.
An analysis of the dynamics of indicators of non-banking financial institutions was also made. Unlike banks, part of the market did not cope with operational risks: financial institutions stopped working, processes were disrupted, and information was lost. The volume of transactions of non-banking financial institutions has significantly decreased. Demand for insurance and lending has fallen, the quality of the loan portfolio of credit unions and financial companies is deteriorating.
Measures aimed at improving the state of the financial system of Ukraine are substantiated.