64th ISI World Statistics Congress

64th ISI World Statistics Congress

Coevolving Latent Space Network with Attractors Models for Polarization

Conference

64th ISI World Statistics Congress

Format: IPS Abstract

Session: IPS 321 - Recent Advances in Statistical Network Analysis with Applications

Wednesday 19 July 10 a.m. - noon (Canada/Eastern)

Abstract

We develop a broadly applicable class of coevolving latent space network with attractors (CLSNA) models, where nodes represent individual social actors assumed to lie in an unknown latent space, edges represent the presence of a specified interaction between actors, and attractors are added in the latent level to capture the notion of attractive and repulsive forces. We apply the CLSNA models to understand the dynamics of partisan polarization on social media, where we expect US Republicans and Democrats to increasingly interact with their own party and disengage with the opposing party. Our analysis confirms the existence of partisan polarization in social media interactions among both political elites and the public. Moreover, while attractive partisanship is the driving force of interactions across the full periods of study for both the public and Democratic elites, repulsive partisanship has come to dominate Republican elites' interactions since the run-up to the 2016 presidential election.