64th ISI World Statistics Congress

64th ISI World Statistics Congress

Tight concentration inequalities for weakly dependent fields, and applications to the mixing bandit problem

Conference

64th ISI World Statistics Congress

Format: SIPS Abstract

Session: Bernoulli Society Journal Lecture

Tuesday 18 July 8:30 a.m. - 9:40 a.m. (Canada/Eastern)

Abstract

In this talk we will first consider the mixing bandit problem, namely a sequential learning problem over weakly dependent data. For solving optimally this problem, it is important to understand tightly the concentration of weakly dependent processes. With this motivation in mind, I will then present a tight Azuma-Hoeffding-type inequality for partial sums of discrete processes in dimension 1, satisfying a weak dependency assumption of projective type - namely that the conditional expectation given the past of the process at a distance more than u is bounded by a known decreasing function of u. The proof is based on a smart multi-scale approximation of random sums by martingale difference sequences, which was first introduced in [Peligrad, Utev and Wu, 2007]. Based on this, a natural question is on whether this type of results and proof techniques can be extended to weakly dependent random fields in dimension d. I will then present Azuma-Hoeffding and Burkholder-type inequalities for partial sums over a rectangular grid of a random field satisfying a weak dependency assumption of projective type. The analysis is also based on multi-scale approximation of random sums by martingale difference sequences, but a careful decomposition of the d dimensional rectangular grid is essential here in order to obtain tight results.